Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000189 0.000211 0.000235 0.000263 0.000294 0.000327 0.000366
2025-01-05 0.000153 0.000183 0.000217 0.000258 0.000307 0.000364 0.000435
2025-01-12 0.000130 0.000164 0.000204 0.000257 0.000323 0.000404 0.000510
2025-01-19 0.000113 0.000149 0.000195 0.000258 0.000341 0.000447 0.000593
2025-01-26 0.000098 0.000135 0.000184 0.000254 0.000351 0.000481 0.000667
2025-02-02 0.000091 0.000130 0.000185 0.000266 0.000382 0.000543 0.000787
2025-02-09 0.000082 0.000123 0.000181 0.000269 0.000402 0.000593 0.000892
2025-02-16 0.000075 0.000116 0.000177 0.000272 0.000420 0.000641 0.000999
2025-02-23 0.000068 0.000109 0.000171 0.000272 0.000433 0.000682 0.001097
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000101 0.000163 0.000267 0.000438 0.000710 0.001178
2025-03-09 0.000056 0.000095 0.000157 0.000265 0.000448 0.000747 0.001276
2025-03-16 0.000052 0.000090 0.000153 0.000265 0.000461 0.000789 0.001386
2025-03-23 0.000048 0.000085 0.000149 0.000266 0.000474 0.000835 0.001511
2025-03-30 0.000044 0.000080 0.000143 0.000262 0.000481 0.000871 0.001621
2025-04-06 0.000040 0.000076 0.000139 0.000262 0.000494 0.000917 0.001756
2025-04-13 0.000037 0.000072 0.000137 0.000263 0.000510 0.000972 0.001911
2025-04-20 0.000034 0.000068 0.000131 0.000260 0.000516 0.001008 0.002034
2025-04-27 0.000033 0.000068 0.000134 0.000272 0.000553 0.001106 0.002290
2025-05-04 0.000032 0.000066 0.000133 0.000276 0.000574 0.001176 0.002496
2025-05-11 0.000030 0.000064 0.000131 0.000279 0.000594 0.001244 0.002703
2025-05-18 0.000028 0.000061 0.000128 0.000278 0.000606 0.001297 0.002886
2025-05-25 0.000026 0.000057 0.000123 0.000273 0.000608 0.001329 0.003023
2025-06-01 0.000024 0.000055 0.000120 0.000271 0.000617 0.001378 0.003203